Analyses

STRATEGIECS Team

Feb 12, 2026

The recent talks held in Oman reflect a notable shift in Iran’s negotiating behavior, with Tehran accepting an expansion of the scope of negotiations to include non-nuclear issues that were previously considered red lines. This shift comes amid escalating U.S. military threats, a decline in Iran’s regional influence, and mounting domestic pressures on the regime. While Tehran is likely prepared to make concessions on the nuclear file and its regional engagement, its missile program remains the most complex obstacle, as it constitutes the regime’s last pillar of deterrence.