Analyses

STRATEGIECS Team

Apr 22, 2026

The negotiations between the United States and Iran, since the first round in Islamabad, reflect a state of deadlock due to disagreements over core issues such as the nuclear program and mechanisms for ending the war. At the same time, Washington has escalated pressure through a naval blockade and the imposition of sanctions, alongside contradictory statements that have further complicated the situation. Meanwhile, Tehran has employed on-the-ground pressure tools, such as the Strait of Hormuz, reflecting a state of ambiguity and uncertainty, and leaving the trajectory of events open to possibilities that oscillate between de-escalation and escalation.